Joe Flower
Healthcare & Technology Futurist
Joe Flower is a writer, speaker and consultant who advises his clients on how to deal with our rapidly changing future. He is the founder and principal of The Change Project, an educational and consulting organization primarily concerned with healthcare and technology. He is the author or co-author of several books including: Healthcare Beyond Reform, China's Futures, The 21st Century Healthcare Leader, The Encyclopedia of the Future, and Age Wave. Joe is also the author of three major healthcare compendia and several hundred articles and he is a contributing editor for The Healthcare Forum Journal, New Scientist and is the principal author of the just-released forecast, Technological Advances and the Next 50 Years of Cardiology, in the Journal of the American College of Cardiology.
With over 37 years’ experience, Joe Flower has emerged as a thought leader on the deep forces changing healthcare in the United States and around the world. He has spoken to or consulted with hundreds of clients ranging from the World Health Organization, the Global Business Network, the U.K. National Health Service, the U.S. Department of Defense, and Fortune 100 companies, to the majority of state hospital associations in the U.S. as well as many of the provincial associations and ministries in Canada, and an extraordinary variety of other players across healthcare in every sector.
Flower is the author of How To Get What We Pay For: A Handbook for the Revolutionaries – Doctors, Nurses, Healthcare Leaders, Inventors, Investors, Employers, Insurers, Governments, Consumers, You. The book is a unique, comprehensive framework for understanding the systemic transformation underway in healthcare and a manual for how to make intelligent and strategic choices for oneself and for one’s organization.
Underpinning much of Flower’s writing is his extensive research into leadership and the change process on over 60 top thinkers on organizational change, including Peter Drucker, Peter Senge, and Ari de Geus. The project took him into the study of chaos theory, Eastern thought, and Aikido in which he eventually earned a black belt.
Flower was a contributing writer for Wired Magazine in its explosive early years, and a columnist for the pioneering health websites DNA.com and HealthCentral.com. He was a founding member of the International Health Futures Network and the principal author of the landmark healthcare forecast, “Technological Advances and the Next 50 Years of Cardiology,” Journal of the American College of Cardiology (vol. 35, no. 4, 2000).
Flower is the author of How To Get What We Pay For: A Handbook for the Revolutionaries – Doctors, Nurses, Healthcare Leaders, Inventors, Investors, Employers, Insurers, Governments, Consumers, You. The book is a unique, comprehensive framework for understanding the systemic transformation underway in healthcare and a manual for how to make intelligent and strategic choices for oneself and for one’s organization.
Underpinning much of Flower’s writing is his extensive research into leadership and the change process on over 60 top thinkers on organizational change, including Peter Drucker, Peter Senge, and Ari de Geus. The project took him into the study of chaos theory, Eastern thought, and Aikido in which he eventually earned a black belt.
Flower was a contributing writer for Wired Magazine in its explosive early years, and a columnist for the pioneering health websites DNA.com and HealthCentral.com. He was a founding member of the International Health Futures Network and the principal author of the landmark healthcare forecast, “Technological Advances and the Next 50 Years of Cardiology,” Journal of the American College of Cardiology (vol. 35, no. 4, 2000).
Topics:
- Healthcarae Apocalypse: Looking 5 Years Ahead
- How Can We Think About The Future of Healthcare: A Master Class in Methods and Pathways
I’m a futurist with a long past, gathering data, scanning for patterns, constructing testable scenarios, searching out dependencies and feedback loops for decades now. Would you like to follow along? Would you like to have more insight into your future and the future of your organization? How do you think about the future in an organized, useful way? We’ll cover the basics in this talk, including:
.Trendspotting and trend testing
.Constructing useful scenarios
.Spotting and challenging your own assumptions and beliefs
.Data gathering: Sifting the firehose
.What statistics do and do not tell you
.The peculiar ways of complex adaptive systems: Basics of analysis - Smart Behavioral Health Care: A Key to Driving Costs Down and Quality Up
If you are looking for savings, that’s where the money is. If you are looking for better, earlier, more effective healthcare, that’s where the big opportunities are. Mental and behavioral health have to form a big piece of any strategy for building better and cheaper healthcare — but most of us are doing it wrong. Here’s how to do it right. - Getting to Seamless: What does it take?
Much of the “volume to value” image is built on seamless care coordination within and between organizations, regions, and levels of healthcare. Most organizations have trouble being transparent even to themselves. Many organizations have neither the capacity nor the inclination to truly build broad teamwork and seamless care flow. Is anyone doing it right? What does that look like? What are the elements, technically and organizationally? What’s it take? - FutureDoc 2020-2030: A Day in the Life
In 2015 we are re-defining what it means to be doctor in ways that are both astonishingly futuristic and classical. How different will it be? How will you make a living? Will it ever get easier? What will tech do the job? What parts of the job will be turned over to robots, sensors, and algorithms? Take a tour of the future in detail in the actual workflow of doctors ten years or more in the future. - Will New Tech Alone Fix Healthcare?
We hear it in blog after news article after press release: This changes everything! Introducing the new technology will make healthcare so much more efficient that healthcare will become cheaper, more available, and better. All by itself! Just as often, Joe Flower sees broad discussions of the future of healthcare that are all about the technology and ignore the economics of this vast system. Can the same old models be made to work by means of new, more efficient technology? - Your Organization at the Live Edge
Sometimes events move so quickly that a talk you commissioned months before is not as satisfying as this up-to-the-moment, spontaneous conversation. Drawing on a deep knowledge of history and 35-years of experience in healthcare, Joe Flower brings thought-provoking analysis and new perspectives to your unique situation, addressing your unique concerns. As Flower reframes issues and answers your questions, sharing the most recent information available, what you hear addresses what you most care about right now. This kind of talk has been among his most popular, partly because it’s always fresh, and allows him to delve deep where called for, and because it draws on the strengths of your group, engaging them at the live edge, where they are most curious and growing. - Global Healthcare
Healthcare is changing globally, as countries around the world grapple with rising healthcare costs, and with radical changes in the political landscape as they try to meet the needs of growing and shifting populations. Joe Flower works internationally in two capacities:
-With governments and health systems ready to take on change at the systemic level;
-With global companies looking for an international perspective on the rapidly changing markets for healthcare, health tech, devices, and pharmaceuticals.
What’s going on in the U.S. has been of great interest because of the size of the U.S. market and because it is a large system moving quickly and urgently to transform itself. The multiplicity of experiments, both in America and abroad, have huge ramifications for the international healthcare market and are compelling and illustrative models of change. - How Not to Lose Your Mind in the Nitty Gritty Present
We’re back in the cage fight. We’ve been struggling with healthcare reform and payment reform for 8 years now — and now they’re going to rip it all up and replace it with … something. The process is likely to be a lot more protracted and chaotic than anyone hopes for. And we won’t know how it really works out until well after the law is in place. We’re talking years. In the meantime, what was built under the Affordable Care Act, the sources of big chunks of our healthcare income, may or may not survive the disruption. - Healthcare 2029: The Big Reveal
Beyond the fog, haze, and chaos of the 202 elections, something is forming, an ecology of futures that grow from the interaction of new technologies, new pathways of care, and new economics. Flower calls these The Table of Elements of Healthcare. These deep disruptive trends will mix and re-combine to shape healthcare in ways that are more powerful and fundamental than today’s political shifts.
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